Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000042 0.000045 0.000049 0.000054 0.000059 0.000065 0.000071
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073 0.000085
2025-11-30 0.000034 0.000039 0.000046 0.000055 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064 0.000078 0.000097
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078 0.000100
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000048 0.000062 0.000079 0.000103
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000060 0.000078 0.000105
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000058 0.000078 0.000106
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000044 0.000059 0.000080 0.000111
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000045 0.000061 0.000085 0.000121
2026-01-25 0.000021 0.000029 0.000039 0.000053 0.000075 0.000106 0.000157
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000051 0.000072 0.000104 0.000157
2026-02-08 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000071 0.000104 0.000161
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000050 0.000074 0.000111 0.000176
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000049 0.000074 0.000114 0.000186
2026-03-01 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000072 0.000113 0.000187
2026-03-08 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000045 0.000070 0.000111 0.000188
2026-03-15 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000191
2026-03-22 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000067 0.000109 0.000192
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000040 0.000065 0.000107 0.000192
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000039 0.000065 0.000109 0.000200
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000040 0.000067 0.000116 0.000218
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000048 0.000083 0.000148 0.000290